Match Info

Regionalliga Central - Round 29

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday


	SPG Wels		Wallern-Marienkirchen

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	4.9
	1.44	5.14	5.03
	1.45	5.19	4.88	Watch
	1.41	4.9	5.41
	1.44	5	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)	5.05 ↑ (4.37)	5.02 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPG Wels
63.7%

Draw
18.1%

Wallern-Marienkirchen
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

20.8%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

20.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Wallern-Marienkirchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wallern-Marienkirchen than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

SPG Wels - Wallern Marienkirchen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Mislov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Mesa A. ⚽,
62', 3 - 0, Gasperlmair S. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Affenzeller O. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Liga and 5).

SPG Wels is Confirmed as championsnQualified for 2. Liga

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, SPG Wels is seen as the favorite.

We predict that SPG Wels will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SPG Wels won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, SPG Wels won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPG Wels
Austrian Regionalliga Central
23.05.25	SPG Wels - Union Vöcklamarkt	2:2 ✺
17.05.25	Ried II - SPG Wels	1:2 ✺
09.05.25	SPG Wels - Vorwärts Steyr	3:1 ✺
30.04.25	Gleisdorf - SPG Wels	1:3 ✺
25.04.25	SPG Wels - LASK II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWWT
- Wallern-Marienkirchen
Austrian Regionalliga Central
23.05.25	Wallern-Marienkirchen - Leoben	4:2 ✺
16.05.25	Union Vöcklamarkt - Wallern-Marienkirchen	2:3 ✺
09.05.25	Wallern-Marienkirchen - Weindorf St. Anna am Aigen	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Ried II - Wallern-Marienkirchen	3:0 ✺
25.04.25	Wallern-Marienkirchen - ASKÖ Oedt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
31.10.24	Wallern-Marienkirchen - SPG Wels	1:1
08.05.24	Wallern-Marienkirchen - SPG Wels	1:2
07.10.23	SPG Wels - Wallern-Marienkirchen	2:2

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