Match Info

3. Liga - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Ludwigspark Stadion (Saarbrücken)

Referee: Exuzidis L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 6
Germany	Magenta Sport, RBB TV, SR Fernsehen, SWR Fernsehen
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	Onefootball


	Saarbrücken		Energie Cottbus

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	2.88	Watch
	2.2	3.65	2.82	Watch
	2.13	3.96	2.87	Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.8
	2.14	3.56	2.84	Watch
	2.12	3.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.32)	3.68 ↓ (3.78)	2.85 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saarbrücken
43.1%

Draw
24.9%

Energie Cottbus
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

24.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

24.5%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Energie Cottbus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	8.3%	25%

Saarbrücken - Energie Cottbus Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Saarbrücken will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Cottbus will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saarbrücken: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Saarbrücken (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cottbus (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Menzel P. (G) 7. Rizzuto C. 32. Bormuth R. 18. Wilhelm L. 28. Bretschneider N. 6. Sontheimer P. 23. Civeja T. 8. Zeitz M. 20. Pick F. 9. Brunker K. 17. Elongo-Yombo R.	33. Funk M. (G) 3. Rorig H. 23. Awortwie-Grant N. 4. Campulka T. 20. Borgmann A. 11. Hannemann M. 8. Michelbrink L. 10. Cigerci T. 19. Boziaris J. 7. Thiele T. 18. Engelhardt E.
Substitutes
27. Bichsel J. 22. Caliskaner K. 2. Fahrner P. 26. Groune A. 5. Krahn E. 21. Nickisch J. (G) 10. Rabihic K. 39. Schmidt P. 19. Vasiliadis S.	31. Butler J. 21. Guwara L. 24. Lucoqui A. 2. Manu K. S. 17. Moustfa C. Y. 5. Pelivan D. 1. Sebald A. (G) 44. Straudi S. 25. Tattermusch T.
Coaches
Luginger J.	Wollitz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Borgmann A. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Hannemann M. ⚽, Cigerci T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hannemann M. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Pick F. ⚽,
59', Hannemann M. ↓, Guwara L. ↑,
59', Boziaris J. ↓, Pelivan D. ↑,
61', Civeja T. 🟨,
66', Brunker K. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
66', Civeja T. ↓, Vasiliadis S. ↑,
78', Sontheimer P. ↓, Krahn E. ↑,
78', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Rabihic K. ↑,
82', Borgmann A. ↓, Moustfa C. Y. ↑,
88', Zeitz M. 🟨,
90+5', Michelbrink L. ↓, Manu K. S. ↑,
90+6', Engelhardt E. ↓, Butler J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Saarbrücken is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Cottbus has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cottbus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cottbus has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Saarbrücken won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Saarbrucken: 5.07%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Saarbrucken	8	4	2	2	19:12	7	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Hansa Rostock - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Saarbrücken - Hoffenheim II	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Saarbrücken	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Saarbrücken - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	1860 München - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLLL
- Energie Cottbus
Club Friendly
07.01.26	Energie Cottbus - Altglienicke	2:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.12.25	Energie Cottbus - Jahn Regensburg	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Energie Cottbus	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Energie Cottbus - Duisburg	3:2 ✺
29.11.25	Energie Cottbus - Viktoria Köln	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
02.08.25	Energie Cottbus - Saarbrücken	3:3
08.03.25	Saarbrücken - Energie Cottbus	2:1
28.09.24	Energie Cottbus - Saarbrücken	4:1

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