Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 9

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Ludwigspark Stadion (Saarbrücken)

Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Usa	ESPN 3
World	Onefootball app


	Saarbrücken		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.21	3.57	3.29
	2.14	3.48	3.21	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3
	2.11	3.46	3.13
	2.15	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 (2.14)	3.49 ↓ (3.54)	3.12 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saarbrücken
43.5%

Draw
26.7%

Arminia Bielefeld
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

26.1%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saarbrücken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Arminia Bielefeld have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Saarbrücken - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Saarbrücken will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Arminia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Menzel P. (G) 7. Rizzuto C. 14. Uaferro B. (C) 27. Bichsel J. 33. Schumacher T. 6. Sontheimer P. 5. Krahn E. 31. Neudecker R. 22. Stehle S. F. 25. Naifi A. 9. Brunker K.	1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. (C) 19. Grosser M. 3. Felix J. 4. Oppie L. 21. Russo S. 38. Worl M. 13. Kunze L. 30. Young I. 7. Kania J. 22. Schroers M.
Substitutes
23. Civeja T. 21. Gourichy C. 20. Gunther-Schmidt J. 11. Multhaup M. 35. Mutter D. (G) 1. Paterok T. (G) 10. Rabihic K. 39. Schmidt P. 18. Wilhelm L.	39. Becker A. 17. Biankadi M. 2. Hagmann F. 33. Lippert M. 25. Mizuta K. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. J. 23. Schneider L. 8. Schreck S.
Coaches
Ziehl R.	Kniat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Oppie L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Young I. 🟨,
60', Stehle S. F. 🟨,
61', Brunker K. 🟨,
63', Kunze L. ↓, Mizuta K. ↑,
66', Brunker K. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
66', Stehle S. F. ↓, Gunther-Schmidt J. ↑,
68', Schumacher T. 🟨,
69', Schroers M. 🟨,
74', Young I. ↓, Biankadi M. ↑,
74', Schroers M. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. J. ↑,
74', Kania J. ↓, Becker A. ↑,
76', Neudecker R. ↓, Civeja T. ↑,
76', Naifi A. ↓, Rabihic K. ↑,
77', Sontheimer P. 🟨,
81', Grosser M. 🟨,
85', Uaferro B. ↓, Wilhelm L. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).

Saarbrücken is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arminia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arminia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Saarbrücken will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saarbrücken won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Saarbrücken won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
28.09.24	Energie Cottbus - Saarbrücken	4:1 ✺
25.09.24	Saarbrücken - Viktoria Köln	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Hannover II - Saarbrücken	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Saarbrücken - Unterhaching	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Saarbrücken	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWTW
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
29.09.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Verl	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	VfB Stuttgart II - Arminia Bielefeld	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Arminia Bielefeld - 1860 München	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Arminia Bielefeld	1:3 ✺
31.08.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Sandhausen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
25.02.24	Saarbrücken - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1
29.09.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Saarbrücken	2:6
20.02.13	Saarbrücken - Arminia Bielefeld	2:4
03.08.12	Arminia Bielefeld - Saarbrücken	N/A

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