Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 26

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Sestao		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.25	2.8	3
	2.35	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.31	2.92	3.15
	2.45	2.79	3.45
	2.32	2.97	3.23
	2.29	2.85	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.12)	2.86 ↓ (2.88)	3.2 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
39.5%

Draw
32%

Sabadell
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30.8%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

30.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Sestao - Sabadell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Puig S. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 5. Martinez G. 15. Azkue J. 6. Jaso Zunzarren A. 9. Cabo J. 8. Garai G. 21. Guruzeta J. 19. Corbalan A. 7. Aranzabe A. 17. Kaxe	13. Ortola A. (G) 11. Astals D. 6. Calavera J. 5. Resta P. 16. Herrero T. 27. Saez M. 12. Domenech M. 21. Maestre S. 8. Gualda A. 22. Abde 17. Kopotun V.
Substitutes
2. Carbonell A. 23. Corral R. 18. Dopi 24. Garcia P. (G) 14. Gete A. 10. Martinez Ortiz L. 12. Mirapeix D. 16. Ozkoidi J. 11. Uriarte K. 13. Zeberio U. (G)	20. Baena R. 14. Baselga M. 30. Bonet N. 3. Fernandez J. 28. Fernandez P. 19. Garcia N. 1. Leal F. (G) 9. Martinez M. 23. Soto D.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sestao could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sestao will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sestao won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.02.24	Celta de Vigo B - Sestao	4:0 ✺
18.02.24	Sestao - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Fuenlabrada - Sestao	3:1 ✺
04.02.24	Sestao - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Ponferradina - Sestao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTLWT
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.02.24	Sabadell - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Real Sociedad B - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Sabadell - Barcelona B	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Sabadell - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	SD Logroñés - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.10.23	Sabadell - Sestao	3:0

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