Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 8

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, IB3


	Sabadell		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.95	3.8
	1.94	3.05	3.95
	1.99	3.02	3.99
	1.95	3.07	4	Watch
	1.99	3.06	3.96
	1.94	3.05	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	3.94 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
46.7%

Draw
30.1%

Atlético Baleares
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

29.7%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

29.1%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Sabadell - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
76', 1 - 0, Cortes S. (Pen),
88', 1 - 1, Plomer D. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 1, Saez M. ⚽,
90+10', 2 - 2, Moreno S. ⚽,
90+11', 🟥,
90+16', 3 - 2, Cortes S. (Pen),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 3.

Sabadell is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Baleares is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sabadell will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:11 (average 1.4:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Sabadell won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
13.10.24	Sant Andreu - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Sabadell - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Lleida - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Real Murcia - Sabadell	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.09.24	Sabadell - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWWT
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
13.10.24	Atlético Baleares - Badalona Futur	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Sant Andreu - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Atlético Baleares - Terrassa	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Cornellà - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Atlético Baleares - Peña Deportiva	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.04.23	Sabadell - Atlético Baleares	3:1
15.01.23	Atlético Baleares - Sabadell	0:1
06.02.22	Sabadell - Atlético Baleares	1:0
24.10.21	Atlético Baleares - Sabadell	3:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.02.19	Sabadell - Atlético Baleares	0:0
16.09.18	Atlético Baleares - Sabadell	1:2
25.02.18	Atlético Baleares - Sabadell	1:1

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