The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sabadell 22%
Draw 33%
Leganés 45%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.3%
31.9%
46.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.5%
24.7%
60.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabadell that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leganés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
19.6%
13%
67.4%
Sabadell - Leganés Predictions
Users Predictions:
46 users predict this event. Sabadell will win (votes: 9 - 19.6%). Leganés will win (votes: 31 - 67.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 53.9% – 80.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs)).
Sabadell has a good chance of relegated (59%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Leganés has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Sabadell has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Leganés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sabadell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Leganés is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Sabadell won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Watch
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