Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Real Murcia		Antequera

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.7	3.45	4.65
	1.69	3.61	4.87
	1.67	3.77	4.82	Watch
	1.67	3.2	4.75
	1.63	3.42	5.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.82)	3.48 ↑ (3.32)	4.84 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
54.8%

Draw
26.3%

Antequera
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

28%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27.2%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Antequera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Real Murcia - Antequera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 18. Vicente D. 34. Sanchez J. G. 4. Garcia H. J. 2. Mier J. 27. Yoldi A. 7. Moyita S. 12. Joao Pedro Palmberg 9. Benito P. A. P. (C) 23. Bosilj D. 17. Narro V.	13. Alcover D. (G) 2. Anton J. 3. Albentosa R. 4. Barbu 12. Garreta F. 10. Luismi Gutierrez (C) 22. Quintana A. 18. Bassele M. 17. Parra M. 7. Biabiany J. 11. Siddiki O.
Substitutes
16. Antonio David 11. Bustos A. 21. Djanbou S. 22. Juan Carlos 14. Leon P. 40. Meca A. 8. Ortuno J. 13. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 44. Porras H. 3. Romero C. 39. Sylla A. 20. Zenitagoia E.	21. Chit O. 8. Clavijo D. 23. Diz Acena R. 16. Gene A. 24. Ilahude D. 1. Perez S. (G) 6. Ramos D. 9. Ribeiro 19. Rodriguez I. 14. Sanchez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Siddiki O. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Sanchez J. G. ⚽,
29', 1 - 2, Biabiany J. ⚽,
45', Siddiki O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gazzaniga G. ↓, Pineiro del Alamo D. ↑,
46', Yoldi A. ↓, Juan Carlos ↑,
52', Quintana A. 🟨,
58', Albentosa R. 🟨,
61', 2 - 2, Bosilj D. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Barbu 🟨,
69', Parra M. ↓, Gene A. ↑,
75', Narro V. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
75', Bosilj D. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
75', Biabiany J. ↓, Ilahude D. ↑,
78', 🟨,
84', Siddiki O. ↓, Clavijo D. ↑,
84', Albentosa R. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
85', Bustos A. 🟨,
90', Clavijo D. 🟨,
90+5', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Romero C. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 3, Bassele M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 3.

In recent matches, Murcia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Antequera has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Murcia is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Murcia	6	4	0	2	10:7	3	12
8	Antequera	6	2	3	1	10:8	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.04.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Real Murcia - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Sevilla B - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Real Murcia - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Hércules - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWL
- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.04.26	Cartagena - Antequera	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Antequera - Tarazona	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Atlético Madrid B - Antequera	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Antequera - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sevilla B - Antequera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.11.25	Antequera - Real Murcia	0:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Real Murcia - Antequera	2:1 penalties
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.05.25	Real Murcia - Antequera	0:0
12.01.25	Antequera - Real Murcia	2:1
12.05.24	Antequera - Real Murcia	0:2
10.12.23	Real Murcia - Antequera	1:2

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