Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 8

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Rayo Majadahonda		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.45
	2.7	2.95	2.4
	2.8	3.1	2.5
	2.93	2.96	2.61
	2.84	2.98	2.54
	2.75	3	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.47)	2.98 ↑ (2.88)	2.5 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
32.7%

Draw
30.7%

Sabadell
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

31.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

30.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sabadell's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Rayo Majadahonda - Sabadell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 2. Ceballos D. 4. Suarez P. 3. Casado J. 23. Camacho S. 19. Fernandez A. 6. Arnedo A. 14. Claverias A. 18. Tavares R. 28. Adeniyi M. 7. Enri R.	13. Ortola A. (G) 5. Resta P. 15. Amelibia J. 4. Pujol R. 23. Monroy P. 16. Herrero T. 7. Moyano A. 8. Gualda A. 10. Herrera C. 14. Baselga M. 9. Martinez M.
Substitutes
20. Carrion A. 9. Cortes J. 22. Esteban H. 15. Hermoso K. 8. Juanjo 16. Nakai T. 17. Ro 11. Rubi 13. Sarr C. (G)	11. Astals D. 6. Beitia C. 21. Callejon F. 3. Carrion J. 12. Costa M. 19. Garcia N. 17. Kopotun V. 1. Leal F. (G) 22. Naranjo G. 2. Sanchez A. 26. Sander Ballero

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Recent matches Rayo Majadahonda is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sabadell is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.10.23	Leonesa - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Teruel	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	SD Logroñés - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Real Unión de Irun - Rayo Majadahonda	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTWTL
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.10.23	Sabadell - Fuenlabrada	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Sabadell - Sestao	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Sabadell - SD Logroñés	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Ponferradina - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLT

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