Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 6

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	Sabadell		Sestao

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	4
	1.85	3	3.9
	1.87	3.2	4.33
	1.9	3.21	4.4
	1.86	3.22	4.3
	1.88	3.2	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.07)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	4.15 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
49%

Draw
28.9%

Sestao
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

29.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Sabadell - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ortola A. (G) 15. Amelibia J. 5. Resta P. 4. Pujol R. 11. Astals D. 7. Moyano A. 10. Herrera C. 8. Gualda A. 16. Herrero T. 14. Baselga M. 9. Martinez M.	1. Puig S. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 12. Mirapeix D. 5. Martinez G. 3. Mateo A. 21. Guruzeta J. 19. Corbalan A. 8. Garai G. 7. Aranzabe A. 10. Martinez Ortiz L. 9. Cabo J.
Substitutes
6. Beitia C. 21. Callejon F. 3. Carrion J. 12. Costa M. 18. Farres B. 19. Garcia N. 17. Kopotun V. 1. Leal F. (G) 22. Naranjo G. 2. Sanchez A. 26. Sander Ballero 24. Tou S. (G)	2. Carbonell A. 18. Dopi 24. Garcia P. (G) 14. Gete A. 16. Jimenez A. 6. Leon A. 20. Sanz I. 11. Uriarte K. 13. Zeberio U. (G)

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Sabadell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sabadell is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.09.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Sabadell - SD Logroñés	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Ponferradina - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Sabadell - Osasuna B	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	Real Unión de Irun - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWL
- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.09.23	Sestao - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Sestao - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
10.09.23	SD Logroñés - Sestao	3:0 ✺
03.09.23	Sestao - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Sestao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTLLT

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