Match Info

Date: 20 March 2021, Saturday


	Sabadell		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	2.15	Watch
	3.75	2.85	2.2
	3.2	2.85	2.5	Watch
	3.65	2.85	2.21
	3.78	3.01	2.32
	3.5	2.7	2.4	Watch
	3.8	2.89	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.47)	2.88 ↑ (2.83)	2.29 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
26%

Draw
32.8%

Sporting de Gijón
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

33.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

26.7%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting de Gijón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	24.2%	48.5%

Sabadell - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Sabadell will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 16 - 48.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 31.4% – 65.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs)).

Sabadell has a good chance of relegated (69%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sporting de Gijón has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (84%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Sabadell is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sporting de Gijón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sporting de Gijón will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sabadell won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish LaLiga2
13.03.21	Castellón - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
07.03.21	Málaga - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
26.02.21	Sabadell - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
20.02.21	Espanyol - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
12.02.21	Sabadell - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLT
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
14.03.21	Sporting de Gijón - Mallorca	2:0 ✺
07.03.21	Ponferradina - Sporting de Gijón	2:2 ✺
28.02.21	Sporting de Gijón - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
20.02.21	Albacete Balompié - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
14.02.21	Sporting de Gijón - Málaga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
25.11.20	Sporting de Gijón - Sabadell	3:1
31.05.15	Sporting de Gijón - Sabadell	2:0
11.01.15	Sabadell - Sporting de Gijón	2:2
12.04.14	Sabadell - Sporting de Gijón	2:0
10.11.13	Sporting de Gijón - Sabadell	3:1
07.04.13	Sabadell - Sporting de Gijón	4:3
04.11.12	Sporting de Gijón - Sabadell	0:0

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