Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday


	Málaga		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.8	3.8	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.75
	2.2	2.9	3.75	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.6
	2.37	2.91	3.82
	2.15	2.8	4	Watch
	2.3	2.81	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.15)	2.85 ↓ (2.89)	3.79 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
42.1%

Draw
33%

Sabadell
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

32.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

24.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sabadell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	14.3%	35.7%

Málaga - Sabadell Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 14 - 50%). Sabadell will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 31.5% – 68.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Málaga has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sabadell has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sabadell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Málaga will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
01.03.21	Mirandés - Málaga	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Málaga - Rayo Vallecano	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Sporting de Gijón - Málaga	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
30.01.21	Alcorcón - Málaga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLLW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish LaLiga2
26.02.21	Sabadell - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
20.02.21	Espanyol - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
12.02.21	Sabadell - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
07.02.21	Las Palmas - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
01.02.21	Sabadell - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.11.20	Sabadell - Málaga	1:2

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