Match Info

Date: 12 February 2021, Friday


	Sabadell		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.62	2.62	Watch
	3	2.75	2.65
	2.88	2.75	2.8	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.7
	3.01	2.88	2.88
	2.9	2.75	2.75
	3	2.77	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.97)	2.76 ↑ (2.67)	2.75 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
31.7%

Draw
34.1%

Zaragoza
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

35.2%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

24.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sabadell have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabadell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zaragoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.7%	64.7%	21.6%

Sabadell - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Sabadell will win (votes: 7 - 13.7%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 11 - 21.6%). It will Tie (votes: 33 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 51.6% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 17).

Sabadell has a chance of relegated (36%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Zaragoza has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sabadell won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish LaLiga2
07.02.21	Las Palmas - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
01.02.21	Sabadell - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
24.01.21	Almería - Sabadell	2:2 ✺
11.01.21	Sabadell - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.21	Peña Deportiva - Sabadell	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WTTTL
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
07.02.21	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
29.01.21	Zaragoza - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
22.01.21	Albacete Balompié - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
08.01.21	Zaragoza - UD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.21	Alcorcón - Zaragoza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.20	Zaragoza - Sabadell	0:0
15.02.15	Sabadell - Zaragoza	0:0
14.09.14	Zaragoza - Sabadell	1:1
17.05.14	Zaragoza - Sabadell	2:2
14.12.13	Sabadell - Zaragoza	1:0

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