Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 9

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Beto Larrosa (Villa Soldati)


	Sacachispas		Colegiales

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.75	2.05
	4	2.75	2.05	Watch
	3.96	2.81	2.12
	3.96	2.81	2.12
	3.8	2.88	2
	3.88	2.88	2.11
	3.95	2.8	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (2.15)	2.81 ↓ (3.04)	2.07 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacachispas
23.4%

Draw
32.5%

Colegiales
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

30.5%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

30.7%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sacachispas's form might have worsened.

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colegiales's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacachispas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colegiales, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sacachispas - Colegiales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Marra L. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Diosquez N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
73', 0 - 3, Cancio J. ⚽,
79', 1 - 3, Rivero J. ⚽,
82', 1 - 4, Olivera E. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sacachispas won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sacachispas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Sacachispas won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Sacachispas won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera B
17.03.24	Sportivo Dock Sud - Sacachispas	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Sacachispas - Deportivo Flandria	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Villa San Carlos - Sacachispas	3:0 ✺
27.02.24	Sacachispas - Sportivo Italiano	2:2 ✺
20.02.24	Argentino de Merlo - Sacachispas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLTL
- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera B
16.03.24	Colegiales - Excursionistas	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Acassuso - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Colegiales - San Martín de Burzaco	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	UAI Urquiza - Colegiales	0:3 ✺
20.02.24	Colegiales - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
30.09.23	Colegiales - Sacachispas	1:1
30.05.23	Sacachispas - Colegiales	1:0
18.12.21	Colegiales - Sacachispas	1:2 penalties
12.12.21	Sacachispas - Colegiales	0:0
06.11.21	Colegiales - Sacachispas	0:1
09.07.21	Sacachispas - Colegiales	1:3
20.12.20	Sacachispas - Colegiales	2:1

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