Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 8

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Colegiales		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.55
	2.6	2.9	2.7
	2.74	2.91	2.87
	2.74	2.8	2.87
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.61	2.98	2.73
	2.65	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.5)	2.9 ↓ (3)	2.72 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
34.8%

Draw
31.5%

Excursionistas
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

31.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Colegiales - Excursionistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 3).

Recent matches Colegiales is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Excursionistas is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Excursionistas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Colegiales won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Colegiales won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera B
09.03.24	Acassuso - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Colegiales - San Martín de Burzaco	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	UAI Urquiza - Colegiales	0:3 ✺
20.02.24	Colegiales - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Colegiales - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWTL
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
08.03.24	Excursionistas - Sportivo Dock Sud	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Deportivo Flandria - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Excursionistas - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
20.02.24	Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas	0:3 ✺
17.02.24	Excursionistas - Argentino de Merlo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
15.04.17	Colegiales - Excursionistas	0:1
22.11.16	Excursionistas - Colegiales	0:2

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