Match Info

Date: 8 May 2022, Sunday


	Guillermo Brown		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.6	4
	2.25	2.75	3.5
	2.16	2.8	3.55
	2.24	2.75	3.45
	2.4	2.68	3.94
	2.38	2.62	3.3
	2.33	2.72	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.34)	2.7 ↓ (2.72)	3.61 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
40.1%

Draw
34.2%

Independiente Rivadavia
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

33.9%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

34.4%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Guillermo Brown aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	58.3%	8.3%

Guillermo Brown - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 18 and 25).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 2.

Guillermo Brown has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Independiente Rivadavia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guillermo Brown could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guillermo Brown will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Guillermo Brown won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.05.22	Quilmes - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Maipú	0:1 ✺
18.04.22	Nueva Chicago - Guillermo Brown	2:2 ✺
10.04.22	Guillermo Brown - Club Almagro	0:1 ✺
03.04.22	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.04.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Chacarita Juniors	2:3 ✺
23.04.22	Brown de Adrogué - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
18.04.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Defensores de Belgrano	3:1 ✺
11.04.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Tristán Suárez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.10.21	Guillermo Brown - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2
04.07.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Guillermo Brown	0:2
12.12.20	Independiente Rivadavia - Guillermo Brown	0:0
09.03.20	Independiente Rivadavia - Guillermo Brown	0:0
15.09.19	Guillermo Brown - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0
07.04.19	Independiente Rivadavia - Guillermo Brown	1:0
10.11.17	Independiente Rivadavia - Guillermo Brown	0:0

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