Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Defensores de Belgrano		Sacachispas

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	5.5
	1.88	3	4.4
	1.88	3	4.3
	1.85	2.95	4.5
	1.87	3.11	5.25
	1.88	2.88	4.5
	1.86	3.14	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2)	3.03 ↑ (2.83)	4.7 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
49.7%

Draw
30.6%

Sacachispas
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

32.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

31.7%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	40%	6.7%

Defensores de Belgrano - Sacachispas Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Sacachispas will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensores: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 19 and 31).

Recent matches Defensores de Belgrano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sacachispas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Defensores de Belgrano is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.05.22	Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
25.04.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:2 ✺
18.04.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Defensores de Belgrano	3:1 ✺
11.04.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Deportivo Maipú - Defensores de Belgrano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLWL
- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.05.22	Sacachispas - San Martín de Tucumán	0:2 ✺
23.04.22	Tristán Suárez - Sacachispas	2:1 ✺
18.04.22	Sacachispas - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
10.04.22	Instituto Córdoba - Sacachispas	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
30.03.22	Defensa y Justicia - Sacachispas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
04.02.18	Defensores de Belgrano - Sacachispas	2:1
09.09.17	Sacachispas - Defensores de Belgrano	0:3

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