Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 18

Date: 27 May 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Beto Larrosa (Villa Soldati)


	Sacachispas		Los Andes

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.8	2
	3.75	2.8	2.1	Watch
	4.34	2.7	2.12
	4.35	2.61	2.12
	3.9	2.88	2
	4.08	2.96	2.02
	4.1	2.7	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (2.97)	2.78 ↓ (3)	2.06 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacachispas
22.7%

Draw
32.9%

Los Andes
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

30.3%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

30.5%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sacachispas's form might have worsened.

Los Andes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Los Andes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacachispas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Andes than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Andes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Sacachispas - Los Andes Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Los Andes will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Santana de Assis J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
59', 0 - 1, Brondo M. ⚽,
89', 0 - 2, Paez A. M. ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sacachispas won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sacachispas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Los Andes will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sacachispas won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sacachispas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera B
18.05.24	Cañuelas - Sacachispas	1:2 ✺
13.05.24	Sacachispas - Deportivo Laferrere	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Deportivo Merlo - Sacachispas	1:0 ✺
29.04.24	Sacachispas - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
24.04.24	Acassuso - Sacachispas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLTL
- Los Andes de Lomas de Zamora
Argentinian Primera B
22.05.24	Villa San Carlos - Los Andes	3:1 ✺
18.05.24	Los Andes - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Acassuso - Los Andes	0:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
08.05.24	Colón - Los Andes	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera B
03.05.24	Los Andes - San Martín de Burzaco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
16.09.23	Los Andes - Sacachispas	3:1
13.05.23	Sacachispas - Los Andes	0:0
30.10.21	Sacachispas - Los Andes	1:0
02.07.21	Los Andes - Sacachispas	0:0
05.01.21	Sacachispas - Los Andes	2:0
04.10.19	Los Andes - Sacachispas	1:0

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