Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Los Andes		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.87	2.45
	2.8	2.9	2.5	Watch
	2.91	2.87	2.58
	2.91	2.78	2.58
	2.75	2.88	2.5
	2.83	2.93	2.56
	2.85	2.85	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.31)	2.87 ↓ (3.05)	2.52 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Andes
32.2%

Draw
31.7%

Excursionistas
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

30.6%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Andes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Andes's form might have worsened.

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Excursionistas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Andes than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Andes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Excursionistas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Los Andes - Excursionistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Rodriguez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)).

Los Andes is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Excursionistas is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Los Andes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Andes de Lomas de Zamora
Argentinian Primera B
12.05.24	Acassuso - Los Andes	0:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
08.05.24	Colón - Los Andes	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera B
03.05.24	Los Andes - San Martín de Burzaco	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	UAI Urquiza - Los Andes	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Los Andes - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWTW
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
10.05.24	Excursionistas - Cañuelas	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	2:3 ✺
26.04.24	Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo	3:1 ✺
21.04.24	Sacachispas - Excursionistas	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Excursionistas - Villa Dálmine	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWT

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