Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA)

Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)


	Sacramento Republic		Loudoun United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.27	5	8.5
	1.3	5.5	8
	1.3	5.81	8.1
	1.3	5.81	8.1
	1.29	5.28	8.7	Watch
	1.29	4.9	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)	5.38 ↑ (4.42)	8.27 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
71.6%

Draw
17.2%

Loudoun United
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.9%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

19.7%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Sacramento Republic - Loudoun United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 5. Timmer J. 24. Donovan C. 4. Desmond L. 19. Ross N. 96. Fernandes L. 8. Lopez R. 11. Cicerone R. 40. Sanchez A. 7. Amann T.	23. Fauroux H. (G) 21. Martinez N. 12. Skundrich D. 24. Erlandson J. 6. Awuah K. 30. Aboukoura A. 4. McCabe T. 8. Valot F. 14. Ryan Z. 7. Leggett W. 15. Bidois R.
Substitutes
42. Contreras F. 15. Jauregui R. 14. Kimbrough D. 99. Mazzola J. (G) 23. Phillips K. 17. Ricketts J. 55. Ukaegbu C. 6. Wiedt S. 20. Willey B.	22. Dambrot R. 10. Elmedkhar K. 17. Francois C. 1. Jacomen D. (G) 36. Melly J. 40. Turner G. 9. Williamson T.
Coaches
Briggs M.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Lopez R. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Cicerone R. ⚽,
16', Martinez N. ↓, Dambrot R. ↑,
21', Donovan C. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Leggett W. ⚽, Bidois R. (A),
45+4', Awuah K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Amann T. 🟨,
60', McCabe T. 🟨,
66', Erlandson J. ↓, Melly J. ↑,
68', Sanchez A. 🟨,
72', Sanchez A. ↓, Ricketts J. ↑,
72', Lopez R. ↓, Jauregui R. ↑,
73', Cicerone R. ↓, Phillips K. ↑,
73', Aboukoura A. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
73', Leggett W. ↓, Francois C. ↑,
75', Skundrich D. 🟨,
77', Gurr J. 🟨,
78', Timmer J. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Phillips K. ⚽, Amann T. (A),
88', Amann T. ↓, Wiedt S. ↑,
90', Bidois R. ↓, Williamson T. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Phillips K. ⚽,
90+4', Ross N. ↓, Willey B. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Sacramento Republic is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Loudoun is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Loudoun could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sacramento Republic is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Sacramento Republic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
20.04.24	Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Sacramento Republic - Tulsa	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Sacramento Republic - Memphis 901	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Indy Eleven - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWWT
- Loudoun United
USL Championship
20.04.24	Loudoun United - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
17.04.24	Richmond Kickers - Loudoun United	0:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
13.04.24	Loudoun United - Memphis 901	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	Detroit City - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
19.08.23	Loudoun United - Sacramento Republic	1:3
10.09.22	Sacramento Republic - Loudoun United	4:0

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