The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orange County SC 28.8%
Draw 27.6%
Sacramento Republic 43.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
26.3%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
25.5%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sacramento Republic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rando A. (G) 16. Lindsey J. 5. Brewitt T. (C) 6. Tubbs G. 23. Doghman R. 27. Kelly S. 8. Sylla O. 10. Hegardt C. 4. Benalcazar N. 11. MacKinnon L. 12. Bazini Y.
1. Vitiello D. (G) 4. Desmond L. (C) 5. Timmer J. 6. Kleemann F. 24. Casas J. 8. Rodriguez M. 20. Willey B. 27. Crisostomo D. 3. Spaulding R. 16. Wolff T. 26. Jennings C.
Substitutes
20. Bunbury M. 35. Carter Jr. J. 30. Castro J. 15. Espy T. 33. Gentile J. (G) 31. Kadono T. (G) 28. O'Brien F. 18. Palomino M. 9. Zubak E.
11. Ajago F. 71. Edwards K. 15. Essel A. 21. Leibold T. 7. Malango M. 19. Midence A. 31. Randolph J. (G) 10. Rodriguez A.
Coaches
Stone D.
Collins N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Wolff T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 0, Hegardt C. ⚽, Doghman R. (A),
62', Jennings C. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
62', Willey B. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
66', Wolff T. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
66', Spaulding R. ↓, Leibold T. ↑,
69', MacKinnon L. ↓, Bunbury M. ↑,
71', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
75', Sylla O. 🟨,
79', Kelly S. 🟨,
81', Kleemann F. ↓, Essel A. ↑,
82', Sylla O. ↓, Espy T. ↑,
83', Hegardt C. ↓, Palomino M. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Essel A. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
90+4', Brewitt T. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 3.
Orange County SC is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sacramento Republic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of home games.
Sacramento Republic might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.9:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Sacramento Republic - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.38%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Rando A. (G) 
Brewitt T. (C) 
Doghman R. 
Kelly S. 
Sylla O. 
MacKinnon L. 
Bazini Y. 
Desmond L. (C) 
Casas J. 
Bunbury M. 
Kadono T. (G) 
Ajago F. 
Edwards K. 
Leibold T. 
Malango M. 
Midence A. 
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