Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 35

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sagamihara		Kataller Toyama

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.25
	2.5	3	2.7	Watch
	3.11	3.2	2.33
	3.16	3.21	2.29	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.15
	3.06	3.08	2.24	Watch
	2.5	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.05)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.38 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
31.8%

Draw
29.7%

Kataller Toyama
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sagamihara's form might have worsened.

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kataller Toyama's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sagamihara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kataller Toyama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Sagamihara - Kataller Toyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Miura M. (G) 28. Ogasawara K. 2. Kato D. 40. Hasegawa Y. 25. Tanaka R. 47. Iwakami Y. 48. Ueda K. 8. Hashimoto R. 22. Fukui K. 11. Muto Y. 39. Senuma Y.	1. Tagawa T. (G) 20. Oyama M. 4. Kamiyama K. 5. Imase J. 25. Yasumitsu S. 16. Sueki H. 6. Sera S. 8. Matsuoka D. 19. Inoue N. 27. Yoshihira T. 9. Usui S.
Substitutes
31. Koga T. (G) 24. Makiyama K. 27. Nishiyama T. 14. Takagi A. 55. Tashiro M. 6. Tokunaga Y. 5. Watahiki K.	39. Furukawa M. 28. Fuseya S. 42. Hirao T. (G) 18. Ito T. 24. Kawai Y. 33. Takahashi Y. 2. Wakimoto K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Fukui K. ⚽,
29', Kato D. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Sueki H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Iwakami Y. ↓, Nishiyama T. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Matsuoka D. ⚽, Yasumitsu S. (A),
56', Yoshihira T. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
64', Inoue N. ↓, Takahashi Y. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Muto Y. (Pen),
70', Ueda K. ↓, Tokunaga Y. ↑,
70', Senuma Y. ↓, Takagi A. ↑,
84', Sera S. ↓, Kawai Y. ↑,
84', Usui S. ↓, Furukawa M. ↑,
84', Matsuoka D. ↓, Fuseya S. ↑,
85', Muto Y. ↓, Makiyama K. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
27.10.24	Fukushima United - Sagamihara	2:3 ✺
20.10.24	Sagamihara - YSCC	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Ryūkyū - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Sagamihara - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:3 ✺
28.09.24	Omiya Ardija - Sagamihara	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLL
- Kataller Toyama
Japan J3 League
27.10.24	Gainare Tottori - Kataller Toyama	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Kataller Toyama - Fukushima United	1:4 ✺
12.10.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kataller Toyama	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Kataller Toyama - Imabari	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Kataller Toyama - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
29.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Sagamihara	0:0
02.09.23	Kataller Toyama - Sagamihara	1:2
04.05.23	Sagamihara - Kataller Toyama	1:1
02.10.22	Kataller Toyama - Sagamihara	1:0
29.05.22	Sagamihara - Kataller Toyama	0:1
27.09.20	Sagamihara - Kataller Toyama	3:2
10.08.20	Kataller Toyama - Sagamihara	3:0

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