Match Info

J3 League - Round 14

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Toho (Fukushima)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Fukushima United		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.6	2.95	2.06
	3.97	3.06	2.06
	3.91	3.06	2.07	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.76	3.05	1.98	Watch
	3.6	2.95	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.63)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	2.04 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fukushima United
25.3%

Draw
29.9%

Sagamihara
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

28.3%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fukushima United's form might have worsened.

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sagamihara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fukushima United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sagamihara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fukushima United - Sagamihara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ueda T. (G) 28. Suzu N. 17. Fujitani T. 25. Toma H. 23. Anzai T. 7. Harigaya T. 20. Jojo K. 30. Kano K. 14. Nakamura T. 40. Higuchi H. 10. Mori K.	46. Baumann N. (G) 3. Pytlik K. 33. Tokida M. 2. Kato D. 18. Miki K. 4. Shimakawa T. 36. Nakashio D. 8. Osako R. 17. Takeuchi T. 9. Rafael Furtado 11. Muto Y.
Substitutes
31. Anzai S. (G) 38. Awano K. 29. Ishii R. 3. Matsunagane Y. 55. Shibata T. 9. Shimizu K. 6. Uehata U. 18. Yajima K. 37. Yui K.	22. Fukui K. 99. Ismaila O. 7. Kawano R. 1. Miura M. (G) 27. Nishiyama T. 28. Ogasawara K. 24. Sugimoto R. 14. Takagi A. 5. Tashiro M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Rafael Furtado ⚽, Muto Y. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Osako R. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Higuchi H. (Pen),
39', 2 - 2, Mori K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nakamura T. ↓, Shimizu K. ↑,
52', Suzu N. ↓, Matsunagane Y. ↑,
57', 2 - 3, Muto Y. ⚽, Takeuchi T. (A),
59', Rafael Furtado ↓, Ismaila O. ↑,
72', Muto Y. ↓, Takagi A. ↑,
72', Takeuchi T. ↓, Nishiyama T. ↑,
77', Kano K. ↓, Uehata U. ↑,
82', Nishiyama T. 🟨,
83', Higuchi H. ↓, Yajima K. ↑,
84', Tokida M. 🟨,
86', 3 - 3, Jojo K. ⚽, Shimizu K. (A),
90+1', Osako R. ↓, Fukui K. ↑,
90+1', Nakashio D. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 1.

Recent form of Fukushima United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sagamihara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fukushima United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sagamihara will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fukushima United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fukushima United
Japan J3 League
17.05.25	Kagoshima United - Fukushima United	5:0 ✺
06.05.25	Fukushima United - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:4 ✺
03.05.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
23.04.25	Fukushima United - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Fukushima United - Kochi United	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWTL
- SC Sagamihara
Japan Emperors Cup
24.05.25	Mito HollyHock - Sagamihara	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
18.05.25	Sagamihara - Osaka	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Sagamihara - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Nagano Parceiro - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
27.10.24	Fukushima United - Sagamihara	2:3
13.04.24	Sagamihara - Fukushima United	1:0
24.09.23	Fukushima United - Sagamihara	1:1
12.03.23	Sagamihara - Fukushima United	2:1
30.08.22	Sagamihara - Fukushima United	1:3
17.04.22	Fukushima United - Sagamihara	1:0
07.11.20	Fukushima United - Sagamihara	0:0

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