The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sagan Tosu 23.8%
Draw 24.9%
Kawasaki Frontale 51.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.9%
25.1%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.3%
24.5%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
25%
58.3%
Sagan Tosu - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 30.4% โ 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Park Il-gyu (G) 42. Harada W. 3. Kimura S. 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 88. Naganuma Y. 5. Kawahara S. 7. Tezuka K. 22. Togashi C. 23. Kikuchi T. 13. Yokoyama A. 99. Marcelo Ryan
99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 31. Wermeskerken S. V. 3. Ominami T. 2. Takai K. 5. Sasaki A. 8. Tachibanada K. 16. Seko T. 17. Tono D. 41. Ienaga A. 20. Yamada S. 23. Marcinho
Substitutes
11. Araujo V. 14. Fujita N. 18. Hino S. 9. Kawata A. 1. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 16. Ueebisu K. 2. Yamazaki K.
9. Erison 26. Hinata Y. 4. Jesiel 1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 30. Segawa Y. 14. Wakizaka Y. 6. Ze Ricardo
Coaches
Kawai K.
Oniki T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Takai K. ⚽, Seko T. (A),
18', Yokoyama A. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Yokoyama A. ⚽, Kikuchi T. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Yokoyama A. ⚽, Marcelo Ryan (A),
44', 3 - 1, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Kawahara S. (A),
45+3', 3 - 2, Ienaga A. ⚽, Yamada S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 4 - 2, Harada W. ⚽,
58', Marcinho ↓, Wakizaka Y. ↑,
58', Wermeskerken S. V. ↓, Jesiel ↑,
60', Yokoyama A. ↓, Yamazaki K. ↑,
68', Kikuchi T. ↓, Hino S. ↑,
68', Togashi C. ↓, Kawata A. ↑,
69', Ienaga A. ↓, Erison ↑,
69', Seko T. ↓, Hinata Y. ↑,
75', 5 - 2, Kawata A. ⚽, Kawahara S. (A),
78', Ominami T. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
83', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Araujo V. ↑,
83', Tezuka K. ↓, Fujita N. ↑,
83', Kim Tae-Hyeon ↓, Ueebisu K. ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tosu won 1.
Recent matches Tosu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kawasaki is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Tosu have a series of guest games.
In this match Kawasaki is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Tosu won 2 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 12-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11.
Watch
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Park Il-gyu (G) 
Harada W. 
Marcelo Ryan 
Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 
