Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 2

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sagan Tosu		Roasso Kumamoto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.35	3.5	Watch
	1.95	3.46	3.9
	1.50	4.26	5.79	Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.6
	1.85	3.32	3.88	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.87)	3.52 ↑ (3.46)	4.08 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagan Tosu
50.9%

Draw
26.4%

Roasso Kumamoto
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.3%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Izumori R. (G) 26. Ando T. 3. Kamiyama K. 33. Ogawa S. 41. Matsuoka H. 20. Toyoda A. 29. Tanaka Y. 16. Nishizawa K. 22. Yuba K. 19. Suzuki D. 88. Shiohama R.	1. Sato S. (G) 5. Kobayashi K. 24. Ri T. 6. Iwashita W. 8. Kamimura S. 41. Omoto Y. 13. Iihoshi A. 15. Mishima S. 22. Matsuda E. 11. Bae Jeong-Min 7. Fujii K.
Substitutes
18. Hyon R. 76. Isotani S. 13. Jojo K. 23. Kitajima F. 12. Matsubara S. (G) 2. Matsumoto N. 15. Sakai N. 7. Sakamoto K. 91. Uehara M.	39. Aoki S. 18. Handai M. 35. Ito S. 2. Kuroki K. 17. Nagai S. 25. Nasu K. 27. Negishi K. 23. Sato Y. (G) 19. Watanabe R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Nishizawa K. ⚽,
30', Kobayashi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Bae Jeong-Min ↓, Handai M. ↑,
61', Omoto Y. ↓, Nagai S. ↑,
64', Fujii K. 🟨,
65', Mishima S. ↓, Negishi K. ↑,
65', Kamimura S. ↓, Nasu K. ↑,
68', Yuba K. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
68', Matsuoka H. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
72', Nasu K. 🟨,
74', Tanaka Y. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
74', Suzuki D. ↓, Sakai N. ↑,
76', Matsuda E. ↓, Aoki S. ↑,
84', Nishizawa K. ↓, Matsumoto N. ↑,
85', Ri T. 🟨,
86', Sakai N. (Penalty Awarded),
89', 1 - 1, Iihoshi A. ⚽, Nagai S. (A),
90+1', Ogawa S. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Handai M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Jojo K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Nasu K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kitajima F. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Aoki S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Matsumoto N. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Negishi K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Sakamoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Nagai S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 3.

Tosu could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 2.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tosu won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 2.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 J3 League
08.02.26	Ryūkyū - Sagan Tosu	2:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.11.25	Sagan Tosu - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Fujieda MYFC - Sagan Tosu	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Kataller Toyama - Sagan Tosu	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sagan Tosu - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLT
- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 J3 League
07.02.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.11.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Ehime - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Vegalta Sendai - Roasso Kumamoto	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
20.09.25	Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto	4:2
30.03.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu	3:1
Japan J League Cup
24.04.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu	0:1
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto	3:4 ET
22.06.22	Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto	3:2
09.06.21	Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0
03.07.19	Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 penalties

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