Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports


	Saint-Étienne		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.25
	2.16	3.4	3.15	Watch
	2.09	3.25	3.25
	2.15	3.37	3.68
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.05	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.13	3.35	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.19)	3.35 ↑ (3.32)	3.37 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
44.2%

Draw
28%

Sochaux
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Saint Étienne - Sochaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Sochaux will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 4).

Saint-Étienne has the most likely position - 9 (7.75%), has project points - 50, has currently - 21, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sochaux has the most likely position - 3 (13.6%), has project points - 59, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

This event has quality 40, importance 32, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Saint-Étienne will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
16.01.23	Niort - Saint-Étienne	0:1 ✺
10.01.23	Saint-Étienne - Laval	1:0 ✺
30.12.22	Saint-Étienne - Caen	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Annecy - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Saint-Étienne - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTLL
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
20.01.23	Sochaux - Caen	1:2 ✺
10.01.23	Le Havre - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
30.12.22	Bordeaux - Sochaux	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Sochaux - Rodez	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.12.22	Clermont - Sochaux	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.10.22	Sochaux - Saint-Étienne	2:1
Coupe De France
11.02.21	Sochaux - Saint-Étienne	1:0
French Ligue 1
23.03.14	Saint-Étienne - Sochaux	3:1
02.11.13	Sochaux - Saint-Étienne	0:0
02.02.13	Sochaux - Saint-Étienne	1:2
French Coupe de la Ligue
30.10.12	Sochaux - Saint-Étienne	0:3
French Ligue 1
15.09.12	Saint-Étienne - Sochaux	0:1

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