Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 35

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Rainville N. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports


	Saint-Étienne		Caen

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.62	3.9	5
	1.72	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.64	4	5.5
	1.62	4.08	5.53
	1.6	3.9	5
	1.59	4.05	4.86	Watch
	1.63	3.8	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.7)	3.91 ↑ (3.77)	5.14 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
57.7%

Draw
24%

Caen
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

24.8%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

23.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Saint Étienne - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (C) 27. Macon Y. 21. Batubinsika D. 3. Nade M. 19. Petrot L. 7. Monconduit T. 29. Moueffek A. 11. Cardona I. 14. Chambost D. 18. Cafaro M. 25. Wadji I.	1. Mandrea A. (G) 4. Henry V. 61. Traore B. 29. Thomas R. 2. Abdi A. 7. Gomis T. 97. Gaucho Debohi D. 20. Lebreton N. 15. Salama A. 23. Autret M. 19. Mendy A.
Substitutes
8. Appiah D. 13. Bentayg M. 6. Bouchouari B. 23. Briancon A. 42. Green E. (G) 10. Mbuku N. 5. Tardieu F.	5. Ben Youssef S. 14. Bolumbu D. 21. Brahimi B. 16. Clementia Y. (G) 6. Daubin Q. 17. Kyeremeh G. 11. Le Bihan M.
Coaches
Dall'Oglio O.	Seube N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Moueffek A. ⚽, Cardona I. (A),
44', Abdi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Macon Y. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
53', Cafaro M. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
63', Gomis T. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
67', Autret M. ↓, Le Bihan M. ↑,
68', Salama A. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
70', Brahimi B. 🟨,
76', Henry V. 🟨,
78', Moueffek A. ↓, Tardieu F. ↑,
79', Wadji I. ↓, Bouchouari B. ↑,
79', Cardona I. ↓, Bentayg M. ↑,
90+2', Traore B. 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 3.

Saint-Étienne is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Caen is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Saint-Étienne is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Saint-Étienne to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
23.04.24	Grenoble - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Ajaccio - Saint-Étienne	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Saint-Étienne - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Valenciennes - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
23.04.24	Caen - Annecy	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Ajaccio - Caen	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Caen - Rodez	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Caen - Bordeaux	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Quevilly - Caen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.09.23	Caen - Saint-Étienne	1:2
26.05.23	Caen - Saint-Étienne	2:2
30.12.22	Saint-Étienne - Caen	1:1
French Ligue 1
16.03.19	Caen - Saint-Étienne	0:5
22.09.18	Saint-Étienne - Caen	2:1
27.01.18	Saint-Étienne - Caen	2:1
12.08.17	Caen - Saint-Étienne	0:1

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