Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 10 January 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports


	Le Havre		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	4	Watch
	2.05	3	3.9
	2.1	2.88	3.9
	2.08	2.95	3.7
	2.19	3.05	4.02
	2.05	3	3.8
	2.13	2.96	3.94	Watch
	2.11	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.21)	2.97 ↓ (3.03)	3.88 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
44.4%

Draw
31.5%

Sochaux
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

30.6%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.4%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	23.1%	7.7%

Le Havre - Sochaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 36 - 69.2%). Sochaux will win (votes: 4 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 56.7% – 81.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 3).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (47.37%), has project points - 71, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (70%), has a chance of win league (47%).

Sochaux has the most likely position - 2 (16.91%), has project points - 63, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (32%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

This event has quality 42, big importance 87, match rating 65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Sochaux have a series of guest games.

Le Havre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
30.12.22	Paris FC - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
26.12.22	Le Havre - Bordeaux	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.12.22	Lens - Le Havre	3:0 ✺
13.12.22	Le Havre - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
08.12.22	Hassania Agadir - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLLW
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
30.12.22	Bordeaux - Sochaux	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Sochaux - Rodez	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.12.22	Clermont - Sochaux	0:1 ✺
17.12.22	Lyon - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
08.12.22	Reims - Sochaux	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
08.01.22	Le Havre - Sochaux	0:1
31.07.21	Sochaux - Le Havre	0:2
20.03.21	Le Havre - Sochaux	0:2
28.11.20	Sochaux - Le Havre	4:0
08.11.19	Sochaux - Le Havre	2:0
12.04.19	Sochaux - Le Havre	1:3
09.11.18	Le Havre - Sochaux	3:2

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