Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Saint George		Adama City

	1	X	2
	2	2.82	3.9
	1.97	2.86	4.02
	2.02	2.88	4.1	Watch
	2	2.63	4
	1.98	2.85	4.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	4.02 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint George
45.3%

Draw
32.2%

Adama City
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

32%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

27.1%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint George has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Adama City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint George that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Saint George - Adama City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint George (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 0, Fitsumi T. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint George won 1.

Saint George has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Adama City has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Saint George may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Saint George is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Saint George won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint George won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St. George	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Adama City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint George FC
Ethiopian Premier League
13.04.26	Arba Minch - Saint George	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Saint George - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Hadiya Hossana - Saint George	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Saint George - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Sheger Ketema - Saint George	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLL
- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
14.04.26	Adama City - Ethio Electric	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Adama City - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City	3:2 ✺
10.03.26	Adama City - Arba Minch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
06.12.25	Adama City - Saint George	1:0
11.05.25	Saint George - Adama City	0:1
09.01.25	Adama City - Saint George	1:2
29.03.24	Adama City - Saint George	2:1
27.10.23	Saint George - Adama City	2:2
15.04.23	Saint George - Adama City	2:1
18.10.22	Adama City - Saint George	1:2

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