Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Saint George		Negele Arsi Ketema

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.52	2.58
	3.23	2.26	2.89
	3.22	2.36	2.83	Watch
	2.9	2.45	2.63
	3.24	2.38	2.7	Watch
	3.15	2.8	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.49)	2.46 ↓ (2.69)	2.65 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint George
29%

Draw
36.8%

Negele Arsi Ketema
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

34.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

34.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint George has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint George's form might have worsened.

Negele Arsi Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Negele Arsi Ketema's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint George, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Negele Arsi Ketema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Saint George - Negele Arsi Ketema Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Saint George will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Negele Arsi Ketema will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Negele Arsi Ketema (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Negele Arsi Ketema will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Negele Arsi Ketema (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3).

Saint George is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Negele Arsi Ketema is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Negele Arsi Ketema may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Saint George won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Negele Arsi Ketema	38	15	15	8	37:30	7	60
6	St. George	38	14	12	12	33:31	2	54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint George FC
Ethiopian Premier League
25.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Saint George	3:0 ✺
05.02.26	Saint George - Welwalo Adigrat	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Fasil Kenema - Saint George	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Saint George - Shire Endaselassie	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Mechal - Saint George	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL
- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
26.02.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Arba Minch - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:1 ✺
05.02.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Mekelle 70 Enderta	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Sidama Coffee	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
29.10.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Saint George	0:1

Saint George - Negele Arsi Ketema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide