Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Adama City		Sheger Ketema

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.42	2.92
	3.03	2.21	3.3
	2.93	2.33	3.17	Watch
	2.7	2.38	2.8
	2.86	2.6	2.99	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.76)	2.47 ↓ (2.76)	3.06 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adama City
33.2%

Draw
37%

Sheger Ketema
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sheger Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Adama City - Sheger Ketema Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Adama City will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+10', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Adama City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Adama City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Sheger Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
21.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Adama City	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	Adama City - Hawassa City	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Welayta Dicha - Adama City	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Adama City - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLTTW
- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
22.02.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethio Electric	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Sheger Ketema - Shire Endaselassie	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Mechal - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
27.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Sheger Ketema	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
23.10.25	Sheger Ketema - Adama City	0:0

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