Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Belgium	21:00	RTBF, VRT Canvas
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Netherlands	21:00	ESPN
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Saint-Gilloise		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.2
	2.2	3.3	2.95
	2.25	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.33	3.53	3.33
	2.25	3.53	3.33
	2.23	3.54	3.11
	2.3	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.33)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	3.17 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
42.2%

Draw
27.7%

Fenerbahçe
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.2%

26.8%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

26.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	14.7%	2.9%

Saint Gilloise - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 28 - 82.4%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 1 - 2.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 69.6% – 95.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Moris A. (C) 26. Sykes R. 16. Burgess C. 28. Machida K. 21. Castro-Montes A. 24. Vanhoutte C. 27. Sadiki N. 11. Teklab H. 23. Puertas C. 47. Amoura M. 29. Nilsson G.	40. Livakovic D. (G) 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 2. Soyuncu C. 6. Djiku A. 24. Oosterwolde J. 5. Yuksek I. 35. Fred 53. Szymanski S. 10. Tadic D. (C) 23. Batshuayi M. 20. Under C.
Substitutes
8. Amani L. 9. Eckert Ayensa D. 35. Huygevelde N. 14. Imbrechts J. (G) 10. Lapoussin L. 12. Lindner H. (G) 4. Rasmussen M. 17. Terho C.	97. Akyuz F. (G) 29. Aydin A. N. 9. Dzeko E. 70. Egribayat I. C. (G) 94. Fedai C. 49. Imre M. 7. Kadioglu F. 11. Kent R. 33. Krunic R. 8. Yandas M. H. 26. Zajc M.
Coaches
Blessin A.	Kartal I.

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Lotto Park.

Union SG in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fenerbahçe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Union SG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Union SG: Leysen F. (Injury) Mac Allister K. (Injury) Rodriguez K. (Injury)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Kahveci I. C. (Lower Back Injury) King J. (Thigh Injury) Luan Peres (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Becao (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.03.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Saint-Gilloise	0:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
28.02.24	Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.02.24	Saint-Gilloise - Standard Liège	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.02.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.02.24	Kortrijk - Saint-Gilloise	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
02.03.24	Hatayspor - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
27.02.24	Ankaragücü - Fenerbahçe	3:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
24.02.24	Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Fenerbahçe	1:3 ✺
11.02.24	Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
31.10.26	Beveren - Saint-Gilloise	✺
- Fenerbahçe
UEFA Champions League
04.11.26	Fenerbahçe - Liverpool	✺
Turkish Super League
31.10.26	Fenerbahçe - Göztepe	✺

Saint-Gilloise - Fenerbahçe