Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jorgji E. (Alb)


	Saint-Gilloise		Lugano

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	5	Watch
	1.62	4.1	5
	1.59	4	5.8
	1.63	4	5
	1.62	4.09	5.75
	1.5	3.9	5
	1.58	4.2	5.3
	1.63	4.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.7)	4.06 ↑ (3.65)	5.26 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
58.8%

Draw
23.2%

Lugano
17.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.2%

25.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

24.4%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	4.3%	8.7%

Saint Gilloise - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (40 of 46 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.23% – 96.69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Moris A. (C) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. 28. Machida K. 17. Terho C. 4. Rasmussen M. 24. Vanhoutte C. 23. Puertas C. 10. Lapoussin L. 8. Amani L. 9. Eckert Ayensa D.	1. Saipi A. (G) 34. Arigoni A. 4. Hajrizi K. 5. Hajdari A. 23. Valenzuela M. 14. Sabbatini J. (C) 16. Grgic A. 11. Steffen R. 25. Bislimi U. 10. Bottani M. 9. Celar Z.
Substitutes
3. Boone V. 85. Dony A. 19. Francois G. 35. Huygevelde N. 14. Imbrechts J. (G) 7. Kabangu E. 48. Leysen F. 29. Nilsson G. 21. Pirard L. (G) 27. Sadiki N. 11. Teklab H.	27. Babic B. 29. Belhadj M. 21. Cimignani Y. 90. Deana S. (G) 22. El Wafi A. 6. Espinoza J. 7. Macek R. 17. Mai L. 26. Marques M. 99. Mina D. (G) 19. Vladi S.
Coaches
Blessin A.	Croci-Torti M.

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Lotto Park.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Lugano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Union SG is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Union SG to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.08.23	KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise	4:0 ✺
12.08.23	Saint-Gilloise - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5:1 ✺
04.08.23	Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
28.07.23	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Saint-Gilloise - Valenciennes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW
- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
13.08.23	Lugano - Yverdon	6:1 ✺
05.08.23	Zürich - Lugano	3:0 ✺
29.07.23	Lugano - St. Gallen	1:0 ✺
26.07.23	Lausanne Ouchy - Lugano	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.23	Lugano - Paradiso	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
31.10.26	Beveren - Saint-Gilloise	✺
- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
01.11.26	Lugano - Basel	✺

Saint-Gilloise - Lugano