The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lausanne Ouchy 22.1%
Draw 24.5%
Lugano 53.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.7%
21.8%
61.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.1%
22.3%
60.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lausanne Ouchy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lausanne Ouchy's performance.
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne Ouchy than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
11.1%
88.9%
Lausanne Ouchy - Lugano Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lugano will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
74. Vachoux J. (G) 26. Diakite I. 23. Kadima R. 5. Hajrulahu L. (C) 49. Camara S. 28. Mahmoud E. 10. Qarri M. 8. Bayard R. 24. Akichi E. 18. Mulaj L. 17. Ajdini A.
1. Saipi A. (G) 17. Mai L. 4. Hajrizi K. 5. Hajdari A. 21. Cimignani Y. 25. Bislimi U. 16. Grgic A. 26. Marques M. 11. Steffen R. (C) 9. Celar Z. 31. Aliseda I.
Substitutes
29. Abdallah M. 6. Bamba G. 11. Damascan V. 1. Da Silva D. (G) 27. Gassama L. 14. Gharbi I. 76. Hamdiu V. 99. Kyeremateng G. 4. Pos L.
27. Babic B. 13. Berbic S. (G) 20. Doumbia O. 6. Espinoza J. 7. Macek R. 18. Mahou H. 24. Nkama J. 93. Przybylko K. 14. Sabbatini J.
Coaches
Dionisio R.
Croci-Torti M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Hajdari A. 🟨,
44', Diakite I. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Hajdari A. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
46', Mulaj L. ↓, Abdallah M. ↑,
46', Bislimi U. ↓, Sabbatini J. ↑,
52', Grgic A. 🟨,
59', Cimignani Y. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
59', Hajrizi K. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
67', Abdallah M. 🟨,
75', Ajdini A. ↓, Damascan V. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Doumbia O. ⚽, Mai L. (A),
79', 0 - 2, Celar Z. ⚽, Steffen R. (A),
80', Bayard R. ↓, Hamdiu V. ↑,
81', Qarri M. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
81', Celar Z. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Przybylko K. ⚽, Mahou H. (A),
90', 1 - 3, Damascan V. (Pen),
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
Lausanne Ouchy is Super League (Relegation Group )
Recent matches Lausanne Ouchy is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lugano is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
In this match Lugano is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Lausanne Ouchy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Lausanne Ouchy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.