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Current Win Probability
KV Mechelen 16.6%
Draw 25.6%
Saint-Gilloise 57.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.1%
24.7%
55.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.3%
23.7%
57.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
33.3%
58.3%
KV Mechelen - Saint Gilloise Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Union SG will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Union SG (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Miras N. (G) 33. St. Jago T. 2. Halhal R. 3. Marsa J. 38. Antonio B. 6. Hammar F. (C) 17. Servais M. 7. Koudou T. 19. Mrabti K. 14. Raman B. 9. van Brederode M.
37. Scherpen K. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. (C) 26. Sykes R. 25. Khalaili A. 8. Zorgane A. 17. Schoofs R. 11. Guilherme Smith 13. Rodriguez K. 10. Ait El Hadj A. 9. Biondic M.
Substitutes
11. Bafdili B. 12. Bande H. 28. Boersma B. 39. Decoene M. 1. De Wolf O. (G) 4. Diouf G. 10. Kireev M. 8. Konate M. 27. Vanrafelghem K.
1. Chambaere V. (G) 30. Florucz R. 7. Fuseini M. 48. Leysen F. 22. Niang O. 27. Patris L. 14. Pavlic I. 29. Sylla M. 6. Van De Perre K.
Coaches
Vanderbiest F.
Hubert D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Sykes R. ⚽, Schoofs R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Burgess C. 🟨,
65', Rodriguez K. ↓, Florucz R. ↑,
71', Vanderbiest F. 🟨,
74', St. Jago T. ↓, Boersma B. ↑,
76', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Van De Perre K. ↑,
76', Biondic M. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
80', Raman B. ↓, Vanrafelghem K. ↑,
81', Servais M. 🟨,
88', Servais M. ↓, Kireev M. ↑,
88', Koudou T. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
90+1', Khalaili A. 🟨,
90+5', Florucz R. 🟨,
90+5', Schoofs R. ↓, Pavlic I. ↑,
90+6', Pavlic I. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 1.
Mechelen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Union SG is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Union SG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Union SG is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Mechelen: Golic L.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Union SG: Barry M. T.
(Ankle Injury)
David P.
(Surgery)
There are questionable in Union SG: Guilherme Smith
(Injury)
Van De Perre K.
(Knock)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now
Royale Union SG: 24.47% KV Mechelen: 0.5%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Royale Union SG
7
6
1
0
21:3
18
19
18
KV Mechelen
7
0
3
4
5:14
-9
3
Last Results with these Odds
Saint-Gilloise - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 55.19%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
Belgium
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Miras N. (G) 
St. Jago T. 
Halhal R. 
Antonio B. 
Hammar F. (C) 
Servais M. 
Koudou T. 
Mac Allister K. 
Burgess C. (C) 
Khalaili A. 
Zorgane A. 
Guilherme Smith 
Rodriguez K. 
Biondic M. 
Bande H. 
Diouf G. 
Kireev M. 
Konate M. 
Florucz R. 
Fuseini M. 
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