Match Info

1. Lig - Round 32

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Ismail Ogan Stadium (Serik)

Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii


	Serik Belediyespor		Sakaryaspor

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.1	3.4	1.98
	2.86	3.62	2.14	Watch
	2.89	3.94	2.22
	2.83	3.89	2.18	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.25
	2.8	3.52	2.18	Watch
	2.7	3.45	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.7)	3.58 ↑ (3.45)	2.14 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serik Belediyespor
31.3%

Draw
25.7%

Sakaryaspor
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

26.5%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

26.7%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Serik Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Sapan V. (G) 22. Ceylan B. 4. Martynov A. 28. Montes A. 44. Cavlan C. 77. Nalepa M. 58. Asan B. 79. Altiparmak G. 20. Dilli S. (C) 40. Nwachukwu C. 9. Sadygov I.	29. Szumski J. (G) 21. Yavuz S. 86. Bekaroglu B. (C) 4. Cakir B. 22. Okumus A. 85. Fofana M. 14. Demir E. 16. Sen K. 91. Bostan M. 99. Yildirim P. 10. Pena S.
Substitutes
14. Adeola R. 5. Demir C. 39. Demirozu M. 27. Karakaya B. (G) 95. Koc A. 70. Ozcan S. 55. Skvortsov L. 2. Tashkyn S. 50. Terzi E. 98. Topalli J.	8. Cihan M. 1. Dadakdeniz A. (G) 25. Demir A. 24. Dursun S. 17. Karatas H. 43. Kocaman A. 27. Owusu 19. Soro I. 3. Terzi E. 9. Zwolinski L.
Coaches
Boran M.	Dalci M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Ceylan B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Yavuz S. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
46', Sadygov I. ↓, Topalli J. ↑,
58', Pena S. ↓, Soro I. ↑,
58', Bostan M. ↓, Owusu ↑,
59', Owusu 🟨,
70', Ceylan B. ↓, Tashkyn S. ↑,
78', Soro I. 🟨,
81', Sen K. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
87', Demir E. ↓, Karatas H. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Topalli J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', Nwachukwu C. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
90+9', 2 - 0, Altiparmak G. ⚽, Ozcan S. (A),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Serik Belediyespor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sakaryaspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sakaryaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Demir I. (Tendon Injury) Guibero R. (Inactive) Okoro J. (Inactive) Spasov G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Ruan Teixeira (Red Card) Turken A. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serik Belediyespor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Serik Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
14.03.26	Adana Demirspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:4 ✺
10.03.26	Serik Belediyespor - Pendikspor	3:4 ✺
07.03.26	Amed SK - Serik Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Serik Belediyespor - Sivasspor	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Erzurumspor - Serik Belediyespor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL
- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
15.03.26	Sakaryaspor - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Sakaryaspor - Sarıyer	0:0 ✺
23.02.26	Sivasspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1 ✺
19.02.26	Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
08.11.25	Sakaryaspor - Serik Belediyespor	2:3
Turkish Second League Red Group
24.04.22	Serik Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor	1:2
12.12.21	Sakaryaspor - Serik Belediyespor	2:1
15.04.21	Serik Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor	0:3
18.01.21	Sakaryaspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:1

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