Match Info

Date: 23 January 2021, Saturday


	Salernitana		Pescara

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.5
	2.25	3.15	3.35	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.3
	2.34	3.2	3.48
	2.3	3	3.4
	2.29	3.06	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.11)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	3.43 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
41.9%

Draw
30.5%

Pescara
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

29.9%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

23%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salernitana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pescara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Salernitana - Pescara Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Pescara will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salernitana: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Salernitana has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Pescara has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Salernitana will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
17.01.21	Empoli - Salernitana	5:0 ✺
04.01.21	Salernitana - Pordenone	0:2 ✺
30.12.20	Monza - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
27.12.20	Venezia - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
21.12.20	Salernitana - Virtus Entella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLWW
- Pescara
Italian Serie B
17.01.21	Pescara - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
04.01.21	Reggiana - Pescara	0:1 ✺
30.12.20	Pescara - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
27.12.20	Virtus Entella - Pescara	3:0 ✺
22.12.20	Pescara - Brescia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
19.01.20	Pescara - Salernitana	1:2
24.08.19	Salernitana - Pescara	3:1
11.05.19	Pescara - Salernitana	2:0
30.12.18	Salernitana - Pescara	2:4
10.02.18	Pescara - Salernitana	1:0
16.09.17	Salernitana - Pescara	2:2
06.02.16	Salernitana - Pescara	2:2

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