Match Info

Date: 21 December 2020, Monday


	Salernitana		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	4.75	Watch
	1.9	3.2	4.6
	1.9	3.3	4.3	Watch
	1.87	3.15	4.3
	1.93	3.38	4.65
	1.88	3.3	4.4
	1.83	3.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.86)	3.3 ↓ (3.33)	4.51 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
50.3%

Draw
28.7%

Virtus Entella
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

28.3%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

22%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salernitana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	4.8%	4.3%

Salernitana - Virtus Entella Predictions

Users Predictions: Salernitana will win (189 of 208 users predict this - 90.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.96% – 94.78%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie A and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Salernitana has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Virtus Entella has a good chance of relegated (76%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Salernitana is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Virtus Entella has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Salernitana is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
18.12.20	Frosinone - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
15.12.20	Salernitana - Lecce	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Brescia - Salernitana	3:1 ✺
05.12.20	Salernitana - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Nuova Cosenza - Salernitana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TTLWW
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
18.12.20	Virtus Entella - Pordenone	0:1 ✺
15.12.20	Monza - Virtus Entella	5:0 ✺
12.12.20	Virtus Entella - Empoli	2:5 ✺
05.12.20	Cremonese - Virtus Entella	2:1 ✺
30.11.20	Virtus Entella - SPAL	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.06.20	Virtus Entella - Salernitana	1:0
02.11.19	Salernitana - Virtus Entella	2:1
Coppa Italia
12.08.18	Virtus Entella - Salernitana	2:0
Italian Serie B
05.05.18	Salernitana - Virtus Entella	1:0
16.12.17	Virtus Entella - Salernitana	0:2
20.03.17	Virtus Entella - Salernitana	0:1
22.10.16	Salernitana - Virtus Entella	1:1

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