Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 6

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	19:30	Ring
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport
Finland	19:30	CMore
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	17:30	Sport TV4
Serbia	18:30	Arena Sport
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	17:30	TNT Sports


	Empoli		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.2	3
	2.45	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.2	3.1
	2.47	3.23	3.25
	2.4	3.2	3.1
	2.34	3.38	3.13	Watch
	2.43	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.09)	3.24 ↓ (3.31)	3.11 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
39.7%

Draw
29.5%

Salernitana
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

28.4%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

27.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Empoli's form might have worsened.

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Empoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	29.2%	33.3%

Empoli - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Salernitana will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 18.1% – 56.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Berisha E. (G) 19. Bereszynski B. 4. Walukiewicz S. 33. Luperto S. (C) 3. Pezzella G. 21. Fazzini J. 5. Grassi A. 29. Maleh Y. 20. Cancellieri M. 35. Baldanzi T. 7. Shpendi S.	13. Ochoa G. (G) 66. Lovato M. 23. Gyomber N. 98. Pirola L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 25. Maggiore G. 7. Martegani A. 3. Bradaric D. 87. Candreva A. (C) 20. Kastanos G. 21. Cabral J.
Substitutes
30. Bastoni S. 13. Cacace L. 28. Cambiaghi N. 23. Destro M. 24. Ebuehi T. 14. Guarino G. 11. Gyasi E. 38. Indragoli G. 8. Kovalenko V. 18. Marin R. 1. Perisan S. (G) 22. Ranocchia F. 40. Stubljar L. (G)	8. Bohinen E. 11. Botheim E. 28. Bronn D. 56. Costil B. (G) 5. Daniliuc F. 10. Dia B. 17. Fazio F. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 99. Legowski M. 6. Sambia J. 36. Sfait A. 19. Stewart T. 33. Tchaouna L.
Coaches
Andreazzoli A.	Sousa P.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Empoli won 2.

Empoli has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Salernitana is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Empoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Empoli: Caprile E. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Salernitana: Coulibaly L. (Injury) Ikwuemesi C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Caputo F. (Injury) Ismajli A. (Injury) Maldini D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Dia B. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Empoli won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
24.09.23	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Roma - Empoli	7:0 ✺
03.09.23	Empoli - Juventus	0:2 ✺
26.08.23	Monza - Empoli	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Empoli - Verona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
22.09.23	Salernitana - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
18.09.23	Salernitana - Torino	0:3 ✺
03.09.23	Lecce - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
28.08.23	Salernitana - Udinese	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Roma - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
08.05.23	Empoli - Salernitana	2:1
05.09.22	Salernitana - Empoli	2:2
14.05.22	Empoli - Salernitana	1:1
23.10.21	Salernitana - Empoli	2:4
Italian Serie B
07.05.21	Salernitana - Empoli	2:0
17.01.21	Empoli - Salernitana	5:0
24.07.20	Salernitana - Empoli	2:4

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