Match Info

Date: 26 October 2021, Tuesday


	Venezia		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.6
	1.98	3.4	3.9	Watch
	1.94	3.4	3.95
	2.01	3.51	4.17
	2	3.3	4
	1.99	3.58	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.24)	3.41 ↓ (3.47)	3.97 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
47.9%

Draw
28%

Salernitana
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

21%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Salernitana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Venezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	8.6%	6.4%

Venezia - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 140 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 119 - 85%). Salernitana will win (votes: 9 - 6.4%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 79.1% – 90.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Venezia has the most likely position - 19 (14.73%), has project points - 36, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Salernitana has the most likely position - 20 (35.85%), has project points - 30, has currently - 4, has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Venezia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Salernitana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Venezia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Venezia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
23.10.21	Sassuolo - Venezia	3:1 ✺
18.10.21	Venezia - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
01.10.21	Cagliari - Venezia	1:1 ✺
27.09.21	Venezia - Torino	1:1 ✺
22.09.21	Milan - Venezia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWTTL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
23.10.21	Salernitana - Empoli	2:4 ✺
16.10.21	Spezia - Salernitana	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	Salernitana - Genoa	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Sassuolo - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
22.09.21	Salernitana - Verona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.04.21	Salernitana - Venezia	2:1
27.12.20	Venezia - Salernitana	1:2
03.03.20	Salernitana - Venezia	2:0
19.10.19	Venezia - Salernitana	1:0
09.06.19	Venezia - Salernitana	1:1 penalties
05.06.19	Salernitana - Venezia	2:1
30.03.19	Salernitana - Venezia	1:1

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