Match Info

Date: 4 January 2021, Monday


	Salernitana		Pordenone

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.45	Watch
	3	3.1	2.5
	3.1	3	2.45	Watch
	3.05	2.9	2.39
	3.25	3.15	2.49
	3.2	3	2.4
	3.04	3.2	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.45)	3.05 ↓ (3.21)	2.45 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
30.4%

Draw
31%

Pordenone
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

29.3%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

21.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salernitana's form might have worsened.

Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pordenone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+21.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salernitana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pordenone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.2%	41.9%	14%

Salernitana - Pordenone Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 19 - 44.2%). Pordenone will win (votes: 6 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 41.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salernitana: 29.4% – 59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie A and 10).

Salernitana has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (58%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Pordenone has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
30.12.20	Monza - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
27.12.20	Venezia - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
21.12.20	Salernitana - Virtus Entella	2:1 ✺
18.12.20	Frosinone - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
15.12.20	Salernitana - Lecce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWWTT
- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
30.12.20	Pordenone - Reggiana	3:0 ✺
27.12.20	Frosinone - Pordenone	1:1 ✺
22.12.20	Pordenone - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
18.12.20	Virtus Entella - Pordenone	0:1 ✺
15.12.20	Pordenone - Brescia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.07.20	Pordenone - Salernitana	1:1
26.12.19	Salernitana - Pordenone	4:0

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