Match Info

League Two - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford)

Referee: Hair N. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Salford City		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.88	3.7	3.6
	1.88	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.93	3.81	3.86
	3.04	3.72	2.09	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.75
	1.93	3.7	3.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.88)	3.7 ↓ (3.75)	3.47 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
46.3%

Draw
26%

Crewe Alexandra
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

25%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

27.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Salford City - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Salford City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Young M. (G) 12. Edwards T. 21. Cesay K. 22. Oluwo A. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 7. Woodburn B. 17. Austerfield J. 8. Grant J. 14. Harris K. 9. Stockton C.	1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 18. Connolly J. 3. Hutchinson R. 19. Lunt O. 8. Thomas C. 26. O'Reilly T. 6. Sanders M. H. 20. Agius C. 24. March J.
Substitutes
2. Ayina L. 11. Bird J. 34. Butt R. 32. Curran-Nichols J. 33. Howard M. (G) 30. Malcolm K. 10. N'Mai K.	22. Croker P. 14. Finney C. 31. Moult L. 23. Powell J. 36. Tezgel E. 29. Thibaut A. 13. Waller S. (G)
Coaches
Robinson K.	Bell L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
5', Woodburn B. (Pen),
8', 0 - 1, Harris K. (Own goal),
16', 1 - 1, Harris K. ⚽, Cesay K. (A),
34', Edwards T. 🟨,
38', Connolly J. 🟨,
41', 1 - 2, Thomas C. ⚽, March J. (A),
45+3', Grant J. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 3, Thomas C. ⚽, March J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Stockton C. ↓, Bird J. ↑,
58', Edwards T. ↓, Ayina L. ↑,
59', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, N'Mai K. ↑,
66', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
69', Cesay K. 🟨,
70', Woodburn B. ↓, Malcolm K. ↑,
80', O'Reilly T. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
81', Ayina L. 🟨,
84', March J. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
85', Ayina L. ↓, Butt R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2.

Salford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Crewe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Crewe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Salford could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Crewe: Tracey S. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Crewe: Thibaut A. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Salford won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 2.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Salford City - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
22.07.25	Salford City - Blackpool	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Chester - Salford City	0:3 ✺
15.07.25	Warrington Rylands - Salford City	3:5 ✺
11.07.25	York City - Salford City	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWWT
- Crewe Alexandra
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Southport - Crewe Alexandra	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Crewe Alexandra - Birmingham City	4:0 ✺
15.07.25	Radcliffe - Crewe Alexandra	1:5 ✺
12.07.25	Ashton United - Crewe Alexandra	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
08.03.25	Salford City - Crewe Alexandra	1:1
19.10.24	Crewe Alexandra - Salford City	1:1
27.01.24	Crewe Alexandra - Salford City	2:3
07.10.23	Salford City - Crewe Alexandra	4:2
10.03.23	Crewe Alexandra - Salford City	4:3
13.08.22	Salford City - Crewe Alexandra	3:0
26.12.19	Salford City - Crewe Alexandra	3:1

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