Match Info

EFL Trophy

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Salford City		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	1.85
	3.35	3.7	1.92
	3.34	3.94	1.95
	3.34	3.60	2.06	Watch
	3.45	3.66	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.25)	3.72 ↑ (3.55)	1.95 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
27.5%

Draw
24.9%

Stockport County
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

26%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

25%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	7.1%	71.4%

Salford City - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Stockport will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Salford (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Stockport (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Salford (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Salford (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Stockport (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Howard M. (G) 15. Cooper B. 22. Oluwo A. 6. Turton O. (C) 8. Grant J. 12. Edwards T. 17. Austerfield J. 7. Woodburn B. 27. Siri N. 30. Malcolm K. 11. Bird J.	34. Addai C. (G) 2. O'Keeffe C. 5. Olowu J. 16. Connolly C. (C) 24. Onyango T. 42. Edwards C. 21. Moxon O. 18. Fiorini L. 10. Fevrier J. 7. Diamond J. 9. Lowe N.
Substitutes
18. Butcher M. 34. Butt R. 21. Cesay K. 44. Chapman M. (G) 32. Curran-Nichols J. 29. Garbutt L. 36. Lara J.	65. Astles J. 27. Bailey O. 45. Grogan C. 33. Hills B. 1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 26. Norwood O. 19. Wootton K.
Coaches
Robinson K.	Challinor D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Austerfield J. ⚽, Malcolm K. (A),
44', Butcher M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Edwards C. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Bird J. (Pen),
62', Turton O. ↓, Garbutt L. ↑,
62', Oluwo A. ↓, Lara J. ↑,
62', Butcher M. ↓, Cesay K. ↑,
65', Fiorini L. ↓, Astles J. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Cesay K. ⚽, Siri N. (A),
74', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
78', Edwards T. ↓, Curran-Nichols J. ↑,
82', Siri N. ↓, Butt R. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Bailey O. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Stockport might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
04.10.25	Salford City - Grimsby Town	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Bristol Rovers - Salford City	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Salford City - Swindon Town	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Shrewsbury Town - Salford City	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Salford City - Tranmere Rovers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWWW
- Stockport County
English League One
04.10.25	Huddersfield Town - Stockport County	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Stockport County - Reading	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Rotherham United - Stockport County	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Stockport County - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Plymouth Argyle - Stockport County	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.25	Salford City - Stockport County	1:1
English League Two
14.03.24	Salford City - Stockport County	2:2
28.11.23	Stockport County - Salford City	0:0
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Salford City - Stockport County	1:3
English League Two
20.05.23	Stockport County - Salford City	3:1 penalties
13.05.23	Salford City - Stockport County	1:0
31.03.23	Stockport County - Salford City	1:1

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