Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Crewe Alexandra		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.25	1.93
	3.30	3.20	1.98
	3.57	3.35	1.93
	12.47	4.93	1.25	Watch
	3.5	3.2	1.89
	3.64	3.42	2.00	Watch
	3.55	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (3.35)	3.52 ↑ (3.3)	1.85 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
20.2%

Draw
27.4%

Stoke City
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

27.8%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stoke City's recent form is better than expected.

Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Lawlor I. (G) 20. Agius C. 2. Billington L. 5. Demetriou M. 25. Gibson J. 17. Holicek M. 3. Hutchinson R. 19. Lunt O. 24. March J. 15. Offord L. 11. Tabiner J.	24. Griffiths J. (G) 17. Bocat E. 11. Bozenik R. 8. Galbraith E. 20. Gallagher S. 5. Graham L. 6. Ingelsson S. 18. Lawal B. 27. Soumare D. 22. Tchamadeu J. 7. Thomas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Gallagher S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Stoke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Stoke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Crewe Alexandra - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.4%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Stoke City - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.78%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Witton Albion - Crewe Alexandra	2:3 ✺
English League Two
02.05.26	Crewe Alexandra - Cambridge United	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Chesterfield - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Grimsby Town - Crewe Alexandra	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLLL
- Stoke City
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Stoke City - Braga	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
02.05.26	Bristol City - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Stoke City - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
21.04.26	Stoke City - Millwall	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Wrexham - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.07.25	Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City	1:2
23.07.24	Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City	1:2
20.07.21	Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City	2:3
30.07.17	Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City	3:1

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