Match Info

League Two - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Barrow		Salford City

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.35	2.12	Watch
	3.17	3.43	2.16	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.2
	3.2	3.2	2.23	Watch
	3.25	3.33	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.42)	3.29 ↓ (3.45)	2.19 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
29.1%

Draw
28.3%

Salford City
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

26.6%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

25.3%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Barrow - Salford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stanway W. (G) 4. Williams M. 5. Raglan C. 3. Shipley L. 34. Whitfield B. 8. Smith S. 45. Harper R. 14. McCann C. 7. Jackson B. 25. Gordon J. 20. Fletcher I.	1. Young M. (G) 6. Turton O. 22. Oluwo A. 29. Garbutt L. 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 21. Cesay K. 8. Grant J. 17. Austerfield J. 10. N'Mai K. 9. Stockton C. 23. Udoh D.
Substitutes
19. Adu Poku M. 18. Cameron I. 21. Earing J. 23. Mahoney C. 11. Newby E. 27. Worrall D.	3. Berkoe K. 16. Borini F. 18. Butcher M. 15. Cooper B. 33. Howard M. (G) 30. Malcolm K. 27. Siri N.
Coaches
Whing A.	Robinson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Udoh D. ⚽, N'Mai K. (A),
15', Oluwo A. 🟨,
20', 1 - 1, Fletcher I. ⚽, Whitfield B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Williams M. 🟨,
58', Stockton C. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
59', Oluwo A. ↓, Cooper B. ↑,
69', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, Berkoe K. ↑,
70', Austerfield J. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,
78', Harper R. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
80', Raglan C. 🟨,
81', Smith S. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
81', Fletcher I. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, N'Mai K. ⚽, Udoh D. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 0.

Recent form of Barrow has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Salford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Salford could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Barrow: Canavan N. (Red Card) Foley S. (Surgery) Healey R. (Knee Injury) Smith K. (Ankle Injury) Walker T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Salford: Ashley O. (Inactive) Bird J. (Inactive) Chesters D. (Knee Injury) Harris K. (Inactive) Mnoga H. (International duty) Rose M. (Leg Injury) Woodburn B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Barrow: Hemmings K. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Salford: 10.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Salford	9	5	1	3	13:10	3	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English League Two
29.12.25	Tranmere Rovers - Barrow	1:3 ✺
26.12.25	Accrington Stanley - Barrow	2:1 ✺
19.12.25	Barrow - Cheltenham Town	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Gillingham - Barrow	2:2 ✺
09.12.25	Barrow - Tranmere Rovers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLTL
- Salford City
English League Two
29.12.25	Salford City - Fleetwood Town	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Salford City - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Barnet - Salford City	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Salford City - Colchester United	4:3 ✺
09.12.25	Fleetwood Town - Salford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
01.04.25	Barrow - Salford City	1:1
26.12.24	Salford City - Barrow	3:0
17.02.24	Salford City - Barrow	5:3
28.10.23	Barrow - Salford City	0:0
28.02.23	Barrow - Salford City	1:1
26.12.22	Salford City - Barrow	1:1
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Barrow - Salford City	0:1

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