Match Info

Date: 23 February 2022, Wednesday


	Salgueiro		Santos

	1	X	2
	7.5	3.6	1.5
	7.5	3.25	1.5
	8	3.5	1.42
	7	3.9	1.41
	8.62	3.57	1.47
	7	3.6	1.47
	7.1	3.94	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.53 ↑ (4.85)	3.62 ↑ (3.38)	1.46 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salgueiro
12.1%

Draw
25.2%

Santos
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

27%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

16.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salgueiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salgueiro's form might have worsened.

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salgueiro than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salgueiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-30.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Salgueiro - Santos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Salgueiro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Santos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santos is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salgueiro
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
17.02.22	Afogados da Ingazeira - Salgueiro	1:2 ✺
09.02.22	Salgueiro - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Salgueiro - Sete de Setembro	4:0 ✺
30.01.22	Íbis - Salgueiro	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	Salgueiro - Caruaru City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLT
- Santos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.02.22	Santos - São Paulo	0:3 ✺
17.02.22	Mirassol - Santos	3:2 ✺
13.02.22	Santos - Ituano	2:1 ✺
10.02.22	Santos - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Guarani - Santos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWTT

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