Match Info

Paulista - Round 3

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Caze TV, Claro TV+, HBO Max, PlayPlus, R7, Sky+, TNT Sports, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Guarani		Santos

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.7	Watch
	4.55	3.35	1.75
	4.45	3.46	1.82	Watch
	4.6	3.2	1.7
	5.19	3.53	1.74	Watch
	5	3.33	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↑ (4.59)	3.38 ↑ (3.35)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guarani
19.5%

Draw
27.5%

Santos
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

27.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Guarani - Santos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Santos will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caique Franca (G) 3. Raphael 4. Jonathan Costa 5. Willian Farias (C) 6. Emerson Barbosa 8. Nathan Melo 13. Mauricio Antonio 7. Guilherme Parede 10. Isaque 11. Mirandinha 9. Maranhao	77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 12. Mayke 2. Ze Ivaldo 98. Frias A. 3. Vinicius Lira 25. Gabriel Menino 15. Willian Arao (C) 6. Ze Rafael 22. Barreal A. 16. Thaciano 32. Rollheiser B.
Substitutes
2. Cicinho 17. Dentinho 20. Diego Torres 22. Fabricio Dias 23. Guilherme Cachoeira 18. Joao Vitor 21. Kaua Jesus 19. Kewen 12. Mateus Claus (G) 15. Povoa M. 14. Ralf 16. Renan Castro	19. Diaz L. 1. Diogenes (G) 31. Escobar G. 18. Igor Vinicius 13. Joao Basso 5. Joao Schmidt 14. Luan Peres 47. Mateus Xavier 30. Miguelito 37. Pedro Assis 8. Rincon T. 7. Robinho Jr.
Coaches
Elano	Vojvoda J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Thaciano 🟨,
34', Maranhao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Mirandinha (Penalty Awarded),
54', Ze Rafael ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
55', Isaque 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Barreal A. ⚽,
63', Mirandinha ↓, Dentinho ↑,
63', Guilherme Parede ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
64', Isaque ↓, Diego Torres ↑,
74', Gabriel Menino ↓, Joao Schmidt ↑,
74', Vinicius Lira ↓, Escobar G. ↑,
74', Thaciano ↓, Robinho Jr. ↑,
81', Willian Farias ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
89', Rollheiser B. ↓, Miguelito ↑,
90', Nathan Melo ↓, Kewen ↑,
90+2', Barreal A. 🟨,
90+2', Kaua Jesus 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Santos is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Santos is the team to beat.

There will not play in Guarani: Lucca (Red Card)

There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Bontempo (Inactive) Neymar (Knee Injury) Tiquinho Soares (Inactive)

There are questionable in Guarani: Igor Pereira (Injury) Rian (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Guarani won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
13.01.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Guarani - EC Primavera	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
11.10.25	Ponte Preta - Guarani	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Brusque - Guarani	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL
- Santos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
14.01.26	Palmeiras - Santos	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Santos - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Santos - Cruzeiro	3:0 ✺
03.12.25	Juventude - Santos	0:3 ✺
28.11.25	Santos - Sport Recife	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.08.24	Guarani - Santos	1:1
06.05.24	Santos - Guarani	4:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.02.24	Santos - Guarani	2:0
18.01.23	Guarani - Santos	2:0
06.02.22	Guarani - Santos	1:1

Upcoming Matches