Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 15

Date: 15 July 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)

Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Santos		Ituano

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	15	Watch
	1.23	5.5	10.5
	1.22	5.5	13
	1.22	6.2	15.5
	1.29	5.1	10.93	Watch
	1.2	5.8	13
	1.22	6.1	12.5	Watch
	1.22	5.6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.26)	5.69 ↑ (5.37)	12.8 ↑ (11.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
76.2%

Draw
16.5%

Ituano
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.2%

17.4%

8.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	5%	0%

Santos - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: Santos will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 13. Aderlan 32. Jair 4. Gil 31. Escobar G. 5. Joao Schmidt 21. Diego Pituca (C) 37. Serginho 22. Otero R. 9. Furch J. 11. Guilherme	1. Saulo (G) 4. Vinicius Poz 3. Claudinho (C) 5. Walber 2. Lucas 8. Rodrigo 10. Gabriel Falcao 11. Miqueias 6. Richard 7. Vinicius Paiva 9. Ze Eduardo
Substitutes
2. Alex Nascimento 12. Diogenes (G) 14. Hyan 15. Joao Basso 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 47. Miguelito 7. Pedrinho 23. Sandry 33. Souza 42. Weslley Patati 27. Willian Bigode 43. Xavier M.	13. Aluisio 21. Bruno Alves 17. Bruno Xavier 19. dos Santos Camargo J. 16. Izidoro 18. Leozinho 20. Neto Berola 14. Pedro Libardoni 15. Rocha M. 22. Victor Silva 23. Vini Oliveira 12. Wesley Borges (G)
Coaches
Fabio Carille	Alberto Valentim

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Diego Pituca ⚽, Escobar G. (A),
18', Guilherme (Pen),
18', 2 - 0, Guilherme ⚽,
27', Rodrigo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Furch J. ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
46', Vinicius Poz ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
62', Lucas 🟨,
70', Guilherme ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
70', Serginho ↓, Miguelito ↑,
71', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Leozinho ↑,
72', Rodrigo ↓, Bruno Alves ↑,
79', Gabriel Falcao ↓, Aluisio ↑,
81', Aderlan ↓, Joao Pedro Chermont ↑,
83', Ze Eduardo ↓, Neto Berola ↑,
86', Diego Pituca ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
90+3', Walber 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos won 2.

Santos is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ituano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santos is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Santos: Kevyson (Injury) Rodrigo Falcao (Injury) Rodrigo Ferreira (Red Card) Zabala L. (Injury)

There will not play in Ituano: Jose Aldo (Red Card) Lipe (Injury) Madison (Injury) Pablo (Injury) Ze Carlos (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Santos won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie B
05.07.24	Ceará - Santos	0:1 ✺
01.07.24	Santos - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
25.06.24	Mirassol - Santos	0:0 ✺
19.06.24	Santos - Goiás	2:0 ✺
14.06.24	Operário Ferroviario - Santos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWL
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
07.07.24	Ituano - Botafogo SP	3:2 ✺
29.06.24	Ceará - Ituano	4:2 ✺
22.06.24	Ituano - Brusque	1:1 ✺
18.06.24	Guarani - Ituano	3:3 ✺
15.06.24	Ituano - Paysandu	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.03.23	Ituano - Santos	3:0
13.02.22	Santos - Ituano	2:1
13.03.21	Santos - Ituano	2:1
22.02.20	Ituano - Santos	2:0
03.02.19	Ituano - Santos	5:1
28.01.18	Santos - Ituano	1:1
21.02.17	Ituano - Santos	0:0

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