Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	União Lamas		Alpendorada

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.88	2.35
	2.98	2.81	2.42
	3.04	2.77	2.48	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.4
	2.73	3.23	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (2.92)	2.9 ↓ (3.1)	2.42 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Lamas
31.4%

Draw
31.2%

Alpendorada
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

28.9%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

28.2%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Lamas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Lamas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+4%)

União Lamas - Alpendorada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Recent form of União Lamas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alpendorada has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, União Lamas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, União Lamas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Uniao Lamas	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
11	FC Alpendorada	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF União Lamas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.03.26	Cinfães - União Lamas	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	União Lamas - Florgrade	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Leça - União Lamas	4:0 ✺
07.02.26	União Lamas - Vila Real	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Rebordosa - União Lamas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWT
- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.03.26	Alpendorada - Vila Meã	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Alpendorada - Cinfães	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Florgrade - Alpendorada	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Alpendorada - Leça	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Vila Real - Alpendorada	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.11.25	Alpendorada - União Lamas	2:1
09.02.25	União Lamas - Alpendorada	0:0
29.09.24	Alpendorada - União Lamas	2:2

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