Match Info

National League South - Round 13

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Salisbury		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.40	5.25
	1.44	4.5	5.5
	1.44	5.06	5.84
	1.48	4.72	5.4	Watch
	1.42	5	5.75
	1.43	4.45	5.51
	1.43	4.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.58)	4.65 ↑ (3.9)	5.49 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
63.6%

Draw
19.7%

Dover Athletic
16.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.4%

22.9%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

21.2%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salisbury's performance.

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Salisbury - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Odokonyero N. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 1 - 1, Williams E. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - National League South Playoffs - Semi - finals and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 3.

Each of the two teams has built an impressive run of consecutive wins.

Bookmakers give the edge to Salisbury for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Salisbury in today's match, at odds of 1.51.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Salisbury has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:7 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Salisbury against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:4 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Salisbury	13	7	4	2	23:9	14	25
11	Dover	13	5	4	4	19:19	0	19

Last Results with these Odds

Dover Athletic - the odds 4.3 are the expected chance of winning is 20.73%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Salisbury - Eastbourne Borough	3:0 ✺
English National League South
10.10.26	Farnham Town - Salisbury	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Salisbury - Dulwich Hamlet	5:0 ✺
English National League South
26.09.26	Salisbury - Folkestone Invicta	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Truro City - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWT
- Dover Athletic
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Dover Athletic - Dorking Wanderers	3:2 ✺
English National League South
10.10.26	Dover Athletic - Dorking Wanderers	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Hanwell Town - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
English National League South
26.09.26	Dover Athletic - Totton	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Farnborough - Dover Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
28.03.26	Salisbury - Dover Athletic	2:1
23.08.25	Dover Athletic - Salisbury	2:0
12.05.13	Salisbury - Dover Athletic	3:2 OT
09.04.13	Salisbury - Dover Athletic	1:1
20.10.12	Dover Athletic - Salisbury	1:3
03.03.12	Salisbury - Dover Athletic	N/A

Salisbury - Dover Athletic