Match Info

National League South - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Raymond McEnhill Stadium (Salisbury)


	Salisbury		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.50	2.60
	2.25	3.35	2.65
	2.29	4.05	2.69
	2.26	3.83	2.74	Watch
	2.20	4.00	2.65
	2.26	3.69	2.82
	2.22	3.55	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.32)	3.71 ↑ (3.52)	2.69 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
41.1%

Draw
24.8%

Folkestone Invicta
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

25.9%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Salisbury - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Salisbury (2.20) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Russe L. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Gallagher R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ National League South PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 12th).

Salisbury has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Performances by Folkestone have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Folkestone could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Salisbury: 4.6% Folkestone: 3.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Salisbury	10	5	3	2	18:7	11	18
15	Folkestone	10	3	3	4	15:12	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Salisbury - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.22%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English National League South
15.09.26	Truro City - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ebbsfleet United - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
08.09.26	Salisbury - Slough Town	5:1 ✺
05.09.26	Chelmsford City - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Salisbury - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTWTW
- Folkestone Invicta
English National League South
12.09.26	Folkestone Invicta - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Folkestone Invicta - Horsham	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Torquay United - Folkestone Invicta	3:2 ✺
31.08.26	Folkestone Invicta - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Slough Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLWW

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